Following the sun home, I am presently awaiting my final
2-hour flight home from Toronto on Tuesday, and can reflect back on this past 1.5 weeks. I have written much on the human and cultural
aspects, and only hinted at the extraordinary boom that is taking place
here. And there is much local buzz over
a planned visit to Ethiopia by President Obama (though I have not heard the
kindest local commentary on his leadership), the first by an American
President. So what will he see?
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Long view of just one southwest suburb - a sea of construction |
Certainly he will see the magnificent African Union
complex, the political centroid of the
African continent. Or the United Nations
outpost, and perhaps will walk the shop floor of the American Embassy and its
1300 employees that he helped build. I
hope he does so on his likely-to-be-whirlwind visit. But I hope he also sees what I have seen and
heard - a country building itself into a modern, educated and productive
workforce.
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Typical multistory scaffolding |
I am certain he can peer out of any porthole he
wants on Air Force One, but when he approaches Bole International Airport, what
will appear is a sea of grey concrete skeletons popping up across this brown
and vaguely green landscape, like a Halloween scare scene in a cemetery. There is no place to turn in this vast,
sprawling city without seeing construction - it is everywhere: up, down and
across this bubbling cauldron. Frankly,
it is as massive a reconstruction effort as I have ever seen.
To put everything in perspective, it is the most
populated land-locked country in the world,
nearly 95 million people, with a growth rate around 2.6%, and of that,
nearly 45% is between the ages of 16 and 35, 87% of the population attends
school, and 85% of the population is involved in agriculture, according to
local sources and the World Bank. This is largely due to historical reasons resulting from a
former USSR backed communist government (1974-1991) famine, and civil war with
Eritrea. According to the World Bank,
despite growth, Ethiopia has one of the lowest GDP's in the world at $47.53
billion, and indicates 30% of the population lives at the poverty level. Average annual income stands at around
$470. An
Oxford University study concluded that Ethiopia was the second poorest country
in the world after Niger. Rural areas
have very high poverty rates (96%) while urban areas are around 20%. And by 2060 population is
expected to well exceed 200 million.
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Typical shoring for floor formwork |
And 40% of the federal budget is being allocated to
rebuilding the country, with much of the major infrastructure improvements
financed and built by the Chinese. I
have met with the Ethiopian Road Authority, the Ethiopian Railway Corporation,
and several other agencies. The sheer
volume of work now and into the future is staggering, with huge projects and
investment anticipated.
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Note the ramp - no crane or hoist |
There is a chronic lack of indigenous management and skill to execute the present and future
projects. According to my colleagues,
nearly every project built is over-budget, over-due, and under-built in terms
of quality. It is simply a way of life
right now - expected even, but likely the cause of so many half finished works
that run out of poorly estimated funding needs. I have availed myself the
opportunity as we drove everywhere in this city and countryside, to note the
means and methods used to build some very tall structures. Field mixed concrete, poorly placed with many
voids. And the concept of level and
square is mostly elusive. Eucalyptus
trunks reign absolutely supreme and a method of formwork, 10 story high, very
spindly scaffolding, ramps, and all manner of devices to execute the work. And this 10 story structure could take three
years to complete. And it is unsafe.
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Wood ramp - typical |
One Ministry building we visited was less than ten
years old, looked like fifty, was of such poor quality and poorly maintained, I
nearly tripped on the stairs as they were of unequal height. And building codes? Apparently the present code is nearly 50
years old. Most buildings, even
high-rises, have only one staircase to exit the structure in case of emergency,
with inadequate handrails, if any at all.
Of course all of this would never pass in the United States or Europe,
but as I mentioned in an earlier post, it is important to look at things with a
local lens.
Lack of knowledge, plentifully available cheap,
willing labor, make this all possible.
And what makes me saddest is to see workers clambering over this rickety
scaffolding, with no tie off to prevent a fall to certain death. It is apparently fairly common. Yesterday, I even spotted a man painting the
outside wall above the third floor windows,
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The lumberyard - all Eucalyptus sticks! |
stretching as far as he could,
perched on a ledge, one hand holding on to the top of the window opening, and
one holding a roller brush stretching as far as he could. Makes me sad to think that the desperation for
a single birr in wages is greater than the cost of personal safety ignored.
How can this change? Through education and international partnerships
such as I just finished researching this past week, that hopefully, gradually
will raise all boats in the wild sea of development.
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These workers - over 10 stories up, no rails, no fall protection |
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And many projects are abandoned - no money |
Ethiopians, it seems to me, are a proud people,
especially of their very long, continuous heritage, culturally diverse, and
generally a social, friendly lot. Yes,
there is crime, bad neighborhoods, spooks, beggars are there are in every other
place, but surprisingly few guns (unlike Honduras) except on just a few police. Hopefully President Obama recognizes the
accomplishments of these proud people,
where they have come from, where they are going, the diversity and stability of
this population, surrounded as they are by less fortunate nation states in
terms of security. Let's hope he
encourages us to be and remain a true partner to their rising prosperity and
security, without hollow promises.
They
are deserving of our help - and my help.
Selam and amesegenallo to my new Ethiopian friends. Until we meet again . . .
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